Complicated-Army
0x41cf018f272218afd000c9cc3eb2330ea2c0a01d
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$49.03
Total PnL
$-265.11
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
20 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$19.80
$5.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
19 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$19.23
$9.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$10.00
$4.30
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after May 2025 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
2500 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-26.47
- YES
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?
500 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- YES
Will Trump resign in 2025?
451 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
341 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- BEARS
Bears vs. 49ers
251 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-90.26
- YES
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?
201 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-36.68
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$0.04Jan 10, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$4.30Jan 9, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$5.70Jan 9, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET$4.10Jan 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$2.07Jan 9, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$14.40Jan 9, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 8, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$4.90Jan 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$0.86Jan 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$7.64Jan 6, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Jan 6, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11AM ET$5.00Jan 6, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET$10.00Jan 6, 16:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$10.00Jan 6, 15:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$10.00Jan 6, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$5.00Jan 6, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$10.00Jan 6, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$15.13Jan 6, 15:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$10.00Jan 6, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$0.97Jan 3, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caleb Williams win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$0.03Jan 3, 11:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.06
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 22, 11:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 10, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".