Attentive-Sanity
0x41d70aee73e93f1ad80ba72d153ed48f5d209603
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$22.63
Total PnL
$-60.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
8 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.00
$4.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?
7 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$7.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?
4 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.07
$0.07
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
4 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
170 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-45.67
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
8 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17?
8 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.74
- YES
Will Liverpool win on 2025-10-19?
6 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will Chelsea win on 2025-10-25?
5 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 25, 2025$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-17?
4 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$3.02May 14, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 in May?$4.00May 14, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 May 11-17?$7.00May 14, 18:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$6.74May 14, 18:11 UTC
- REDEEMCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$7.08May 14, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYCrude Oil all time high by April 30?$7.00Apr 27, 09:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?$6.00Apr 27, 09:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aster be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?$1.09Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?$2.66Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by March 31?$3.48Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$4.00Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $52 in March?$4.12Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$7.20Apr 27, 09:08 UTC
- REWARD$0.24Mar 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by March 31?$3.45Mar 17, 09:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$6.98Mar 17, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aster be the top performing crypto for the week of March 16?$1.00Mar 17, 09:24 UTC
- REDEEMMiami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjean$3.95Mar 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?$2.00Mar 16, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMiami Open, Qualification: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Leolia Jeanjean$3.00Mar 16, 17:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $31.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 3, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.