Informal-Donut
0x41d7d8d06cfff04b946f30f0f807ebb5302fb4ad
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$1.40
Total PnL
$0.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zach Edey lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$1.40Feb 27, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cătălin Drulă get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$1.50Feb 4, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cătălin Drulă get less than 5% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?$1.48Dec 3, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.23Nov 27, 16:38 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.41Nov 27, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.27Oct 10, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?$1.17Jul 21, 14:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?$1.31Apr 15, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill egg prices be less than $4.50 in February?$1.31Mar 5, 10:04 UTC
- REDEEM2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$0.00Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEM2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104$0.00Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.00Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tim Walz be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.13Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$0.21Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?$0.23Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$0.33Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$0.37Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pennsylvania be the tipping point state?$0.58Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$6.57Jan 13, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Fernandes win the 2024 Fortaleza mayoral election?$0.18Oct 23, 12:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $56.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 27, 08:01 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 14:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.