Valid-Fugato
0x41da944a2e52c178a7aa269a86592ade3893bfa7
Wallet digest
Activity score
48/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-113.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Taylor Swift's wedding post most-liked Instagram by August 31?
343 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-11.41
- YES
Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?
280 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-14.00
- YES
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
167 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?
157 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- NO
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?
114 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?
113 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?
111 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?
110 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?
101 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 28, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTaylor Swift's wedding post most-liked Instagram by August 31?$11.41Aug 27, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by September 30?$11.00Aug 27, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?$11.00Aug 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$14.00Aug 27, 14:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump be impeached in 2025?$5.00Aug 27, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$10.00Aug 27, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during September press conference?$5.00Aug 27, 14:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Median" during September press conference?$3.00Aug 27, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$4.00Aug 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Washington" or "DC" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$5.00Aug 27, 14:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Tax" 7+ times during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?$5.00Aug 27, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Production" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Networking" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Enterprise" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Inference" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Gaming" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "China" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Datacenter" during the Q2 2025 Nvidia earnings call?$1.00Aug 27, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?$2.00Aug 27, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $4600 on August 27?$20.00Aug 27, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $5.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 27, 14:03 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 27, 14:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".