Gray-Grandmom
0x41daaf6810a41c053ac5cffb9f74fcec2328f8e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.0K
Realised
$-3.48
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on October 31?
15000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 27?
13725 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-34.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 27?
11515 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-45.99
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 26?
9440 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-53.89
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on November 2?
8539 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-41.27
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 2?
6950 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-27.80
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $110,000 on October 28?
6723 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2025$0.00
$-35.04
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on October 29?
6000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 5?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 15?
5499 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-11.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$1.07Jul 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$1.07Jul 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$1.07Jul 21, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$1.07Jul 21, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$2.13Jul 21, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 on July 21?$11.75Jul 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,850 on July 21?$10.62Jul 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 on July 20?$12.41Jul 20, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 20?$1.07Jul 20, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on July 20?$10.68Jul 20, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?$1.01Jul 19, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 19?$5.84Jul 19, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $1,950 on July 19?$12.79Jul 19, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,700 July 13-19?$13.40Jul 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 17?$1.07Jul 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on July 17?$4.27Jul 17, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?$18.93Jul 15, 08:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 13-19?$3.68Jul 15, 08:11 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$3.74Jul 9, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$1.18Jun 28, 09:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
36% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 07:02 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 08:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.