Marvelous-Waterbed
0x41dbbaad77b87cf1dca6c091422b9e013406fb27
Wallet digest
Activity score
38/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
4819 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2021$0.00
$-500.00
- 52 OR FEWER
How many Senators will vote to convict Donald Trump on incitement by March 1?
3549 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2021$0.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2265 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.0K
- YES
Will Dogecoin be above $0.10 on February 15, 2021?
752 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2021$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
672 shares @ 29.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will North Dakota have the most COVID-19 cases per 100k residents on May 15, 2021?
316 shares @ 63.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will 100 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by April 1, 2021?
306 shares @ 65.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.0KFeb 20, 12:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Yang win the Democratic primary for Mayor of New York City in 2021?$370.18Jun 27, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Andrew Cuomo be Governor of New York on June 1, 2021?$140.34Jun 27, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill 150 million people have received a dose of an approved COVID-19 vaccine in the US by May 1, 2021?$531.29Jun 27, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Joe Biden's approval rating be 54% or higher on March 15, 2021?$504.86Mar 23, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?$361.54Feb 11, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill 538 outperform The Economist in forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election?$0.00Jan 29, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?$0.00Jan 29, 11:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump tweet announcing that he won the election before November 5th 2020?$0.00Jan 29, 11:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?$3.78Jan 26, 02:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC break $20k before Thanksgiving?$281.74Nov 26, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win Pennsylvania in the 2020 presidential election?$540.58Nov 26, 20:51 UTC
- REDEEMWhich party will win Georgia in the 2020 presidential election?$893.64Nov 21, 16:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?$5.4KNov 9, 18:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $1.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 9, 18:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 20, 12:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".