Conventional-Cow
0x41dc0eeaf77155b5dfd4daa07407e18d4e0d4fb7
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-14.95
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRFK Jr. wins a state?$0.05Oct 8, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael withdraws from Gaza before September?$0.00Oct 8, 13:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$0.00Oct 8, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel invade Lebanon in September?$11.24Sep 30, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Israel x Hamas ceasefire in September?$0.70Jul 26, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNext Israel x Hamas ceasefire in August?$1.65Jul 23, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYRFK Jr. wins a state?$0.40Jul 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Biden finish his term?$12.60Jul 23, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza before September?$0.80Jul 22, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael withdraws from Gaza before September?$0.55Jul 21, 20:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$7.95Jul 21, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLBiden drops out of presidential race?$19.96Jul 21, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLTesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?$0.03Jul 21, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$4.79Jun 30, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYTesla Robotaxi unveiling delayed?$10.00Jun 30, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBiden drops out of presidential race?$5.00Jun 29, 23:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
14 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $5.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 29, 23:55 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 8, 13:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.