Noisy-Product
0x41de182957655c4b96c630ee1957123e02362119
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
163
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$145.94
Win rate
78%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 163- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
3820 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
3035 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-292.13
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET
2124 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-299.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
1795 shares @ 36.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-660.29
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
1593 shares @ 37.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-602.35
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
1590 shares @ 29.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-471.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
1450 shares @ 22.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-328.70
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
1310 shares @ 49.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-644.23
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
1250 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-239.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
1153 shares @ 31.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-365.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Mar 8, 21:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$0.00Mar 8, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$398.71Mar 8, 21:33 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$113.65Mar 8, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$152.30Mar 8, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$240.20Mar 8, 21:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$275.14Mar 8, 21:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$75.86Mar 8, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$0.13Mar 8, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$613.87Mar 8, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$50.00Mar 8, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$100.00Mar 8, 21:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
79/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
78% win rate over 32 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
32 closed markets, 78% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $116.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 19:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 21:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.