Untried-Conviction
0x41e07d1b3e89e4510712e3ec89b8f8378fe84d48
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$418.81
Total PnL
$-47.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?
135 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$134.97
$0.61
- NO
Gensyn FDV above $2B one day after launch?
120 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$120.00
$1.20
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 2?
102 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$102.38
$0.72
- NO
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
61 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$61.46
$0.25
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
59 shares @ 84.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-49.78
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?$69.78Apr 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on April 2?$101.70Apr 2, 10:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?$61.21Apr 2, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on April 2?$64.61Apr 2, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on March 20?$91.29Apr 2, 10:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NOAA Weather Radio be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$99.65Apr 2, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be 62°F or higher on March 20?$91.11Mar 20, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NOAA Weather Radio be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on March 20?$99.45Mar 18, 19:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$102.86Mar 18, 19:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on March 6?$105.12Mar 18, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$50.00Mar 6, 16:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C or higher on March 6?$104.49Mar 6, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 6?$102.65Mar 6, 16:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?$50.00Mar 6, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?$80.00Mar 6, 16:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$100.00Mar 6, 16:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on February 20?$99.80Feb 18, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 6°C on February 18?$77.60Feb 18, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?$49.40Feb 18, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?$16.00Feb 18, 15:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $59.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 6, 13:42 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 2, 10:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.