Round-Nature
0x41e1b2ba339310efd6ee7059d665eb20c06256da
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
96
Open notional
$10.22
Total PnL
$-419.35
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 96- YES
Will François Ruffin be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?
80 shares @ 15.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$4.24
$-7.76
- YES
Will Dominique de Villepin win the 2027 French presidential election?
60 shares @ 5.2¢·now 3.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.89
$-1.23
- YES
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 3.6¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.40
$0.40
- YES
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?
45 shares @ 2.2¢·now 2.1¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.72
$-0.28
- YES
Will Bruno Retailleau win the 2027 French presidential election?
9 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.9¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$0.18
$-0.11
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?
949 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-171.40
- 9Z
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2
800 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- METANOIA WOLVES
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs METANOIA WOLVES (BO3) - Odyssey Cup Brazil Group Stage
350 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.05Jun 8, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 2 Winner$0.80Jun 8, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 9?$1.50Jun 8, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner$0.90Jun 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.30Jun 7, 18:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.03Jun 7, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.80Jun 7, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$1.20Jun 6, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$0.20Jun 6, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on June 1?$2.80May 30, 14:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on June 1?$2.20May 30, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?$10.00May 27, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 26?$4.00May 26, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?$0.97May 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on May 26?$1.53May 25, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$0.03May 24, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$0.04May 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$0.04May 24, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$0.01May 24, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on May 24?$0.03May 24, 16:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 15:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 8, 13:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.