Lost-Idea
0x41e4fa0e94a2861bf1e29b0da33d726370e30c55
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$10.79
Total PnL
$-106.42
Realised
$6.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
25 shares @ 21.0¢·now 15.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.79
$-1.46
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
14 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.59
$-1.41
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
252 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.89
$-3.11
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
122 shares @ 4.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.52
$-3.48
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
250 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- YES
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?
185 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?
172 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
50 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu say "October 7" or "October 7th" during address to UN General Assembly on Sept 26?
43 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Eric Adams drop out?
37 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 00:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".