Straight-Median
0x41ec049f3b79b950bc99ea548ed7999f70989d9b
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.08
Total PnL
$-561.36
Realised
$-0.66
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$2.08
$1.08
- NO
Mansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
586 shares @ 62.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-366.15
- YES
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?
500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- FURIA
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2
313 shares @ 33.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-105.00
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
70 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Borussia Mönchengladbach win on 2026-03-06?
63 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?
36 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-26?
31 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 26, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
20 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2026$0.00
$-11.82
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
16 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 24, 2026$0.00
$-9.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?$1.02May 23, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$1.02May 20, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23?$1.02May 20, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$30.51May 20, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$0.00Mar 7, 15:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$9.34Mar 7, 15:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$9.34Mar 7, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMansfield Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score$366.15Mar 7, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$5.00Mar 6, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$100.00Mar 6, 23:46 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$132.73Mar 6, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$100.00Mar 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$20.00Mar 6, 23:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$20.00Mar 6, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?$46.46Mar 6, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$30.99Mar 6, 21:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Torino FC win on 2026-03-06?$5.00Mar 6, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$10.00Mar 6, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2$20.00Mar 6, 18:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$2.00Mar 6, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $37.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 1, 17:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 17:01 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".