Celebrated-Overshoot
0x41f1d3ef058dcf342b6a3fc40d8e6a2c59aec15c
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Cristiano Ronaldo play in FIFA Club World Cup?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
8 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- AMERICAN LEAGUE
MLB All-Star Game
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Dan Bongino out as Deputy Director of the FBI by July 31?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on July 12?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down on July 12?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump jail Elon Musk?$0.35Aug 22, 03:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$0.48Aug 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.10Aug 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADESELLRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.35Aug 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?$1.00Aug 17, 01:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill ETH/BTC hit 0.035 by September 30?$1.01Aug 16, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEM Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$3.38Aug 16, 08:31 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$1.00Aug 11, 01:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2.00Aug 10, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMElon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?$1.12Aug 10, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$1.00Aug 9, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUY Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?$1.00Aug 9, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH/BTC hit 0.035 by September 30?$1.00Aug 8, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYElon Musk tweets 25+ times Thursday?$1.00Aug 6, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.00Jul 21, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire before August?$1.00Jul 21, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUY10-year Treasury yield >4.4% Friday?$1.00Jul 20, 03:32 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 14?$1.33Jul 20, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMPump.fun announces public raise sold out in the first hour?$1.45Jul 20, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $2,500 on July 11?$1.49Jul 20, 03:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 10:19 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 22, 03:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".