Big-Hearted-Lard
0x41f623e0baae41e385875a3759c474cf0622828e
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
120
Open notional
$420.96
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$656.46
Win rate
48%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 120- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?
558 shares @ 8.4¢·now 27.2¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$151.65
$104.62
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?
348 shares @ 44.1¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$85.27
$-68.23
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?
168 shares @ 68.3¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$53.04
$-61.93
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?
890 shares @ 19.5¢·now 3.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$31.14
$-142.63
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 5?
47 shares @ 42.0¢·now 35.6¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$16.58
$-2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 5?
307 shares @ 12.4¢·now 5.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$15.34
$-22.66
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?
29 shares @ 43.6¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$13.65
$0.85
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.88
$-0.13
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.77
$-0.23
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?$11.76Jun 5, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on June 5?$20.11Jun 5, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$5.19Jun 5, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$2.15Jun 5, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$4.55Jun 5, 13:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 5?$1.39Jun 5, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 5?$26.38Jun 5, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$23.21Jun 5, 12:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.30Jun 5, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?$0.03Jun 5, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?$51.33Jun 5, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on June 5?$1.92Jun 5, 11:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$8.85Jun 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$17.90Jun 5, 11:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$3.10Jun 5, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?$116.79Jun 5, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$1.92Jun 5, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$39.52Jun 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 5?$1.38Jun 5, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?$7.82Jun 5, 09:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $14.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 5, 07:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 13:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".