Fair-Drop
0x41f638ebc330d168d6070ebf8174609b2e5750b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-19.50
Realised
$32.76
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Bitcoin above $112000 on August 13?
100 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?
100 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 15, 2025$0.00
$-13.20
- NO
Will Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?
100 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- NO
Ethereum above $2,700 on February 21?
76 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.30
- YES
Will Putin meet with Trump in February?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down in Q2?
30 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-7.80
- YES
DeepSeek banned in US before April?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 4, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Ethereum above $2,300 on March 7?
12 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $112000 on August 13?$2.90Aug 10, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in July?$13.20Aug 10, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?$5.60May 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?$6.90May 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in April?$4.20Apr 30, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down in Q2?$7.80Apr 30, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$0.80Mar 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the March 2025 unemployment rate be 4.0%?$3.20Mar 12, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell say "Trump" during the March meeting?$5.00Mar 9, 12:50 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$5.88Mar 6, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,300 on March 7?$4.00Mar 4, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Putin meet with Trump in February?$2.00Feb 23, 13:25 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum above $2,700 on February 21?$22.82Feb 21, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,700 on February 21?$6.60Feb 21, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "inflation" 40 or more times during January press conference?$6.00Jan 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek banned in US before April?$5.00Jan 27, 15:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $6.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 27, 15:39 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 10, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".