Knobby-Television
0x41f81ad3cf1bccc9afe77bff5ec1838b2dab96af
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-817.20
Realised
$113.34
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
7000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down on November 12?
4116 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-23.65
- NO
Will Solana dip to $150 November 10-16?
2666 shares @ 6.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-170.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $112,000 and $114,000 on November 10?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?
1336 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 28, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,400 on November 13?
1303 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 13, 2025$0.00
$-60.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - November 11, 7PM ET
1300 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 11, 7PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on November 27?
776 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-24.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 2AM ET$8.00Feb 14, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the government shutdown last 3 days or more?$2.00Jan 31, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$2.57Jan 30, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 30, 05:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$111.11Jan 29, 04:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?$3.00Jan 28, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Median" during January press conference?$100.00Jan 28, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$60.00Jan 27, 23:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS government shutdown Saturday?$188.11Jan 27, 23:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?$6.00Jan 26, 16:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$10.00Jan 26, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$140.00Jan 26, 11:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$7.00Jan 7, 10:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Employment" or "Unemployment" 20+ times during December press conference?$8.00Dec 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?$8.00Dec 10, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Good afternoon" during December press conference?$4.00Dec 10, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on December 4?$2.00Dec 4, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$7.00Nov 27, 05:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$27.00Nov 27, 05:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?$9.00Nov 27, 04:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $31.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 21, 04:40 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 14, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".