Warm-Past
0x41f8e803b6aae91ebd54b5bb38138b57f0d6d9a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-788.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?
2700 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-598.50
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1054 shares @ 14.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-150.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
500 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.61Nov 24, 02:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.03Nov 24, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 24, 02:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.04Nov 24, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.01Nov 24, 01:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.04Nov 24, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.01Nov 24, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.00Nov 23, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.20Nov 22, 21:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.31Nov 19, 18:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 15, 18:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 15, 18:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.01Nov 13, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.22Nov 12, 18:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$10.00Nov 11, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.10Nov 11, 06:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.22Nov 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.52Nov 10, 12:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.03Nov 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani get between 30% and 40% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$0.02Nov 10, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 21:04 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 24, 02:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".