0x41f9a320fa7513c62f5d3b55b8674e33eda44869
0x41f9a320fa7513c62f5d3b55b8674e33eda44869
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$4.72
Total PnL
$0.78
Realised
$-0.07
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Derek Merrin be the Republican nominee for OH-09?
4 shares @ 42.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$4.40
$2.55
- NO
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.17
$-0.77
- YES
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 11.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.14
$-0.67
- YES
Will William Nylander win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
5 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
- YES
Will Adam Fantilli win the 2025–2026 NHL Art Ross Trophy?
5 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Daniel Biss be the Democratic nominee for IL-09?$0.00Mar 18, 09:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sunderland finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$0.00Mar 17, 04:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hamnet win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Mar 16, 05:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rickie Fowler win the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am?$0.00Mar 4, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 17m?$0.00Mar 4, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill "GOAT" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?$0.00Mar 4, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?$0.00Mar 4, 21:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$6.39Mar 4, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill EUR/USD hit 1.16 (Low) in 2026?$0.00Mar 3, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid reach $40 in February?$0.00Mar 1, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ermal Meta win Sanremo 2026?$0.00Mar 1, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Feb 28, 22:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 22, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$0.00Feb 22, 20:33 UTC
- REDEEMCagliari Calcio vs. SS Lazio: O/U 1.5$1.70Feb 22, 00:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?$0.00Feb 16, 03:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.00Feb 15, 05:04 UTC
- REDEEMTotal Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?$0.00Feb 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$0.23Feb 15, 04:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of XRP be between $1.60 and $1.70 on February 15?$0.34Feb 15, 04:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $0.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 13, 00:46 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.