Quarterly-Phrasing
0x41fc502210d522574bebc79add3f4ed7e3408ff0
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-45.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
385 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?
170 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before July?
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
39 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.67
- YES
Another US military action against Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$18.34May 29, 18:00 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$17.54May 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.07May 29, 17:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$10.08May 29, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$15.44May 29, 17:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.11May 29, 17:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$5.14May 29, 17:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$10.74May 28, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET$8.09May 28, 12:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$8.00May 28, 12:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$6.11May 28, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$5.07May 28, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$11.28May 28, 11:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$2.81May 26, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$5.11May 26, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$0.00May 26, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$2.58May 26, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother US military action against Iran by June 30?$1.97Jun 24, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire before July? $10.00Jun 24, 10:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The New York Times update its privacy policy before July?$10.00Jun 24, 10:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $6.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 10:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".