Defiant-Quality
0x41fc587455841ef9ee705cc5dc1b68798a458b73
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$5.54
Total PnL
$-14.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
482 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$5.54
$-2.65
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2230 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
2225 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.19Mar 17, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $30?$8.00Mar 17, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 2 above $30?$7.99Feb 3, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.02Feb 3, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$1.01Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEM5kt meteor strike in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$1.58Jan 7, 09:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMaduro trial scheduled by January 31?$1.00Jan 7, 09:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump remove his Rob Reiner post?$1.50Dec 17, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$1.00Dec 10, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2025?$1.00Dec 6, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?$1.00Nov 28, 02:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$0.00Nov 20, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$0.00Nov 20, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$0.00Nov 20, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$0.00Nov 20, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$0.00Nov 20, 07:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $557.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 20, 05:09 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".