0x41fd986d19198f9003793702701282c5d57c5261
0x41fd986d19198f9003793702701282c5d57c5261
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$131.66
Total PnL
$131.66
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
44 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$44.18
$44.18
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?
41 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$41.39
$41.39
- NO
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
17 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$16.64
$16.64
- NO
China coup attempt in 2025?
10 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$10.42
$10.42
- NO
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
11 shares @ 0.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.95
$9.95
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin July 22-28?
6 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2025$6.45
$6.45
- YES
US government shutdown in 2025?
2 shares @ 0.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$2.27
$2.27
- YES
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.36
$0.36
- YES
Will Trump resign in 2025?
32 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$0.00
- NO
U.S. Government funding lapse on October 1?
18 shares @ 0.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 1, 2025$0.00
$0.00
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.