Clumsy-Bathtub
0x4200dd83c852b2dfdffa107af130d54c4b3de689
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$132.92
Total PnL
$-475.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Satoshi Nakamoto's identity not be proven in 2024?
54 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$53.51
$3.51
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?
50 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$50.00
$0.80
- NO
Russian nuke in space in 2024?
29 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$29.41
$4.41
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
533 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-264.54
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
113 shares @ 74.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-84.19
- YES
Will there be another debate?
97 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
58 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency?
50 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-24.50
- NO
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency?
30 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-21.30
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
28 shares @ 72.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$13.22Nov 3, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $21.30Oct 14, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$20.97Oct 14, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.86Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.91Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.74Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill $BTC reach 75k before October?$52.25Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.65Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.72Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$0.95Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.34Oct 11, 18:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.40Sep 30, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$99.20Sep 26, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.03Sep 24, 00:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.04Sep 24, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$5.05Sep 24, 00:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "liar" during her Wisconsin rally?$0.00Sep 24, 00:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "convicted felon" during her Wisconsin rally?$0.00Sep 24, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.10Sep 23, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win the popular vote and the Presidency? $24.50Sep 22, 03:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $27.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 07:29 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 3, 01:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.