Cumbersome-Broker
0x4204ff386d86ebfebbc615ec405f996eb30c165a
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$480.65
Total PnL
$-255.21
Realised
$-8.72
Win rate
0%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
420 shares @ 67.0¢·now 70.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$294.63
$13.23
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
420 shares @ 16.0¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
420 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.10
$-2.10
- YES
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?
42 shares @ 50.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$20.79
$-0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?
13 shares @ 88.8¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 16, 2026$12.64
$0.66
- YES
Will Eintracht Braunschweig win on 2026-05-17?
42 shares @ 25.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$10.50
$0.00
- YES
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. Eintracht Braunschweig end in a draw?
42 shares @ 24.0¢·now 23.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.87
$-0.21
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?
15 shares @ 76.3¢·now 66.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$9.77
$-1.53
- YES
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
420 shares @ 2.1¢·now 2.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.99
$0.17
- YES
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
420 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.93
$-0.63
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 16?$11.43May 16, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on May 16?$12.04May 16, 04:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?$32.87May 16, 01:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?$70.18May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$27.29May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16?$24.79May 15, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC win on 2026-05-16?$72.06May 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toronto FC win on 2026-05-16?$28.59May 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Charlotte FC vs. Toronto FC end in a draw?$29.88May 15, 22:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?$568.46May 15, 20:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Cajamarca win on 2026-05-15?$13.34May 15, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Cajamarca vs. CS Cristal end in a draw?$5.10May 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Cajamarca win on 2026-05-15?$3.55May 15, 20:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$313.22May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$62.88May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$2.89May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.13May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$3.89May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?$9.01May 15, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?$5.13May 15, 20:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $30.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 04:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".