Wonderful-Disgust
0x4207c4f53b785c6d0d48512a497ebd845c29b81b
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$13.1K
Total PnL
$-40.6K
Realised
$55.2K
Win rate
34%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- NO
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
6617 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$6.5K
$4.61
- NO
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
3375 shares @ 86.4¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$3.0K
$36.76
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
775 shares @ 20.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$569.91
$414.83
- NO
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
2120 shares @ 25.2¢·now 24.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$519.40
$-14.60
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$467.25
$-3.66
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
168 shares @ 93.9¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$160.35
$2.60
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
1000 shares @ 7.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$75.00
$5.00
- NO
Will Brandon Aiyuk play for Washington Commanders in 2026-27?
122 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$66.87
$5.75
- YES
Will Carlos Espá win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
96596 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.30
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Yonhy Lescano win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
96596 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$48.30
$-1.9K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$18.95Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$7.39Jun 13, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$237.90Jun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.5KJun 13, 11:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$75.28Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$842.41Jun 13, 11:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$36.88Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$695.62Jun 13, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$0.70Jun 13, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$93.00Jun 13, 11:39 UTC
- CONVERSIONMakerfield by-election Winner$95.09Jun 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$14.80Jun 13, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$1.2KJun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$489.00Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$783.20Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$490.50Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$295.20Jun 13, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$3.33Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$6.67Jun 13, 11:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$18.75Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $290.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 07:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 13:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.