Daring-Barometer
0x420d6a52337e01c0042f756566e1240465daf690
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.90
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 18?
15 shares @ 6.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 81-82°F on August 11?
8 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 11, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 18?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $3,500 on November 5?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on September 8?
6 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 8, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 78-79°F on August 9?
6 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 9, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be between 77-78°F on August 8?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 8, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 30?
5 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.90
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 29?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 29, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 19?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 30?$2.90Nov 29, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 29?$2.00Nov 28, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 27?$2.94Nov 28, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 28?$1.00Nov 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 27?$2.00Nov 26, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 25?$2.99Nov 26, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 26?$1.00Nov 25, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 25?$2.00Nov 24, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on November 24?$1.00Nov 23, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 23?$5.44Nov 23, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 23?$3.00Nov 22, 19:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 20?$2.82Nov 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on November 22?$2.00Nov 21, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on November 21?$1.00Nov 20, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,900 and $3,000 on November 20?$2.00Nov 19, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 19?$1.00Nov 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on November 19?$0.16Nov 18, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on November 18?$1.00Nov 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Ethereum be less than $3,000 on November 18?$1.70Nov 18, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,200 and $3,300 on November 18?$1.00Nov 17, 20:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 30, 17:11 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 29, 18:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".