Wallet digest

active

Activity score

54/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$1.34

Total PnL

$-158.41

Realised

$0.03

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 49

YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$1.34
$0.34
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
970 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026
$0.00
$-23.19
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET
409 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-18.12
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET
372 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-8.37
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
337 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-10.12
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
231 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-4.63
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
115 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026
$0.00
$-4.62
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
93 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-2.79
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
80 shares @ 5.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026
$0.00
$-4.64
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
70 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026
$0.00
$-2.79

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 21:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 20:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 20:17 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 19:38 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$5.97Apr 26, 16:55 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$2.00Apr 26, 16:54 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$2.00Apr 26, 13:59 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET$2.00Apr 26, 12:19 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$2.00Apr 26, 11:44 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.01Apr 26, 10:49 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 10:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$0.90Apr 26, 10:18 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 10:18 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.02Apr 26, 09:53 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 09:53 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$0.95Apr 26, 09:48 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 09:48 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$0.94Apr 26, 09:14 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$1.00Apr 26, 09:14 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$0.85Apr 26, 08:08 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity43 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry4 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk68 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 50
Avg trade size: $1.26
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 26, 02:52 UTC
Last active: Apr 26, 21:14 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 15:25:54 UTC·src:Polymarket Data