Full-Mule
0x420e1f4d6248a3efc033df4b0ffd5289deb09ad9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
1
Open notional
$10.26
Total PnL
$6.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down on July 20?$3.65Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?$13.40Jul 20, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on July 18?$4.16Jul 17, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?$0.00Jul 17, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 16?$9.44Jul 15, 20:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$0.00Jul 15, 20:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?$16.82Jul 14, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$0.00Jul 14, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET$2.54Jul 13, 06:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$0.00Jul 13, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 12?$3.73Jul 11, 06:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 10?$0.00Jul 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on July 10?$7.28Jul 9, 13:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?$21.67Jul 9, 13:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 7?$11.37Jul 6, 13:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$0.00Jul 6, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 4?$23.88Jul 4, 06:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?$0.00Jul 4, 06:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on July 2?$0.00Jul 4, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 3?$4.07Jul 2, 08:43 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $9.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 29, 09:31 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 09:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.