Smoggy-Onion
0x420fddcd0199fd30a9503e97e315bf02c8b04841
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.87
Realised
$1.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the US strike Syria next?
6260 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
136 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
127 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.92
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?
30 shares @ 27.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
4 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
2 shares @ 43.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.98
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$2.57Jun 11, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?$2.68Jun 11, 05:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa win on 2026-06-11?$11.72Jun 11, 05:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$11.66Jun 11, 05:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 28, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$12.34May 27, 06:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $3.65
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 19:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 05:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.