0x421de28a73e9e3fb9fadb583e37eba1532c4962b
0x421de28a73e9e3fb9fadb583e37eba1532c4962b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$-3.2K
Realised
$-2.6K
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- 8.5-9.5 MILLION
How many subscribers will /r/wallstreetbets have on February 7, 2021?
1376 shares @ 0.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Feb 7, 2021$1.4K
$1.4K
- YES
Will ETH be above $1,500 on January 27th?
4585 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2021$0.00
$-269.36
- NO
Will $BTC break $50k before April 1st, 2021?
4521 shares @ 15.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-697.00
- NO
Will $BTC break $20k before 2021?
2151 shares @ 34.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2021$0.00
$-750.25
- YES
Will ETH be above $2000 on April 1st, 2021?
2106 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2021$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will ETH be above $1500 on February 3rd, 2021?
1031 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2021$0.00
$-110.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
5 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2021$0.00
$-0.80
Recent activity
No activity on record.
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- —
- Last active
- —
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.