0x4221512f576988afc520d56d56e60c3f64100a1b
0x4221512f576988afc520d56d56e60c3f64100a1b
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-188.21
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will US attack Iran by February 15?
25000 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2024$0.00
$-883.41
- NO
Ayatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?
15000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2024$0.00
$-799.62
- NO
Hamas lose power in Gaza before February?
5135 shares @ 68.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.5K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$77.98Jun 4, 10:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04Jun 4, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04Jun 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04Jun 4, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04Jun 4, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.06Jun 3, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.25Jun 3, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.42Jun 3, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$4.17Jun 2, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.03Jun 2, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$20.00Jun 1, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.42May 30, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 30, 10:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 30, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.08May 30, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 30, 08:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 30, 08:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.20May 30, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 29, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYAyatollah Khamenei still in power in Iran by June 30?$0.04May 29, 10:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.98
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 05:41 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 10:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".