Experienced-Swanling
0x4221f776a0e5727e705dccb365ff775803857364
Wallet digest
Activity score
46/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.9K
Realised
$83.03
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 23?
7047 shares @ 5.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-367.48
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 2?
6357 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-48.72
- YES
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?
6219 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on November 9?
5047 shares @ 13.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-686.55
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 30?
3492 shares @ 27.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-956.10
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?
2723 shares @ 22.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-605.12
- NO
Will Trump release more Epstein files in 2025?
2557 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-50.90
- NO
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?
2450 shares @ 16.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-393.88
- NO
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in October?
1821 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-976.66
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on October 31?
1659 shares @ 58.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-973.35
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$19.47Dec 3, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$3.59Nov 12, 14:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$7.30Nov 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$13.23Nov 12, 11:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$10.10Nov 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$95.24Nov 12, 07:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$107.14Nov 12, 07:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$22.36Nov 12, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$8.29Nov 12, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$111.49Nov 12, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$56.57Nov 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$20.45Nov 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$28.95Nov 12, 06:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$8.17Nov 12, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$30.53Nov 12, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$264.45Nov 12, 05:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$39.08Nov 12, 05:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$23.09Nov 12, 05:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?$61.60Nov 12, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on November 9?$43.82Nov 12, 05:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $37.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 2, 15:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 3, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".