Electric-Milk
0x422d07057a2ede1dadfa0cb989c6902ea1ff5ced
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$162.75
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-182.62
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1500 shares @ 5.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$77.25
$2.25
- YES
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$61.50
$-17.33
- YES
Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
100 shares @ 23.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$13.50
$-9.50
- YES
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 1.8¢·now 1.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$10.50
$-7.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
1958 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.90
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1529 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-100.18
- YES
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in October?
1003 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?
1001 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-282.48
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
1000 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
1000 shares @ 30.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 20, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 23, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.