Content-Pencil
0x422e93063d2585f56b54880e0929a5fd418607e2
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$5.09
Total PnL
$-174.31
Realised
$-4.81
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- YES
Will 13-14 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
79 shares @ 1.3¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.41
$2.41
- YES
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
690 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.04
$-1.73
- YES
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on March 17?
11643 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-23.29
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 8?
11027 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-22.86
- YES
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will SpaceX have less than or equal to 6 launches in March?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 4?
305 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-36.60
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpurs vs. Thunder$160.00May 27, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpurs vs. Thunder$99.20May 26, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$133.00May 26, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?$132.60May 18, 07:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$133.53May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 13?$133.04May 13, 06:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$130.00May 13, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 7?$129.22May 7, 06:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?$133.37May 7, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27?$133.00Apr 27, 01:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?$132.49Apr 27, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 21?$132.00Apr 21, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$10.03Apr 21, 02:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$122.00Apr 21, 02:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?$121.63Apr 17, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?$120.00Apr 17, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 15?$119.40Apr 15, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$10.00Apr 15, 00:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?$130.00Apr 15, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 13?$129.61Apr 13, 01:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $89.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 29, 07:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 27, 03:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".