0x4230c2fca92155fb3189741baaefa6a4fd0cb1fe
0x4230c2fca92155fb3189741baaefa6a4fd0cb1fe
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-532.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- YES
Will Jason Koon win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
40000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Mike Matusow win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
20000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- NO
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?
9041 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-59.99
- YES
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?
6509 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.99
- YES
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$20.67May 16, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$3.82May 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Greece win Eurovision 2026?$27.17May 16, 11:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$20.70May 16, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$23.00Dec 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $25.00Dec 29, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Dec 25, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Dec 25, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31?$29.00Dec 11, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$14.00Dec 11, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$5.00Dec 10, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?$8.00Dec 10, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thunderbolts be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025?$5.00Dec 9, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jurassic World: Rebirth be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025?$10.00Dec 9, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$15.00Dec 9, 19:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chef Phillip win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$20.00Dec 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies UFO files in 2025?$16.00Dec 9, 19:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $19.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 8, 11:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.