Intentional-Toaster-Rail
0x42314f08d4a5d74eed409a808c2b4f88031e319a
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
60
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-459.17
Realised
$-21.30
Win rate
0%
55 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 60- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
470 shares @ 49.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-230.60
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
86 shares @ 58.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
78 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
50 shares @ 50.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
39 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
27 shares @ 19.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.18
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
22 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET
20 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.08
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET
11 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.15
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
10 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 20, 2026$0.00
$-1.25
Recent activity
- TRADESELLXRP Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$7.91Aug 21, 13:10 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.43Aug 21, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.35Aug 21, 13:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.07Aug 21, 13:08 UTC
- REDEEMBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$8.00Aug 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.34Aug 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.60Aug 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.28Aug 21, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.10Aug 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$0.83Aug 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$2.27Aug 21, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$5.03Aug 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.01Aug 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.36Aug 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$0.07Aug 21, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$1.44Aug 21, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - August 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.09Aug 21, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - August 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$0.34Aug 21, 12:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBNB Up or Down - August 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$3.30Aug 21, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - August 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET$4.86Aug 21, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
58/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 55 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
43 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 24/100.
55 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $1.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 21, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 13:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 55 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.