Bumpy-Sunbonnet
0x42337de01aec3193825717f758fa3508b31c35f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$11.21
Total PnL
$-10.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$6.67
$5.67
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$4.55
$3.55
- YES
Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
53 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?
29 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?
22 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?
18 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
15 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$5.00Nov 5, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$5.00Nov 5, 01:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani get between 40% and 50% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?$3.00Nov 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his victory/concession speech?$1.00Nov 5, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?$1.00Nov 5, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?$1.00Nov 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?$1.00Nov 5, 01:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end November 8-11?$1.00Nov 5, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 5, 01:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1.00Nov 5, 01:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $1.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 01:08 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 5, 01:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.