Equatorial-Grandma
0x4236476615e741118893c4a55a00f3f387d0a861
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
35
Open notional
$10.00
Total PnL
$-73.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.00
$9.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
290 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
- YES
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1?
140 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Bodo Glimt win the 2025–26 Champions League?
133 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 28?
130 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Woody Allen be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani be named in newly released Epstein files by February 28?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 5, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 4, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 2, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 1, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 31, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 30, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $2.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 21, 05:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.