Verifiable-Parenthesis
0x423aefcf8fe09d5b8f1fd3b55ada8e360e399482
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.23
Total PnL
$-18.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
79 shares @ 5.1¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.23
$0.20
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET
4413 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
4340 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
4160 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
4120 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
4100 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4009 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
3930 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.0K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
3680 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
3620 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.8K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.03Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$3.26Mar 26, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$1.00Feb 2, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$1.00Feb 2, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?$1.00Feb 2, 03:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.09Feb 2, 03:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$6.84Jan 10, 03:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.04Jan 10, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$97.44Jan 10, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$1.00Jan 6, 01:35 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.08Jan 6, 01:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$2.06Jan 6, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$2.00Dec 15, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 8, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Dec 1, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$1.00Nov 24, 06:58 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$57.91Nov 17, 09:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$60.00Nov 17, 09:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET$28.95Nov 17, 08:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $489.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 4, 06:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 01:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".