Competent-Progression
0x424619a218238939fa99131c6d4bb8bbccef0c3b
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
157
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-705.88
Realised
$-5.82
Win rate
33%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 157- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
413 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-3.64
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 4PM ET
261 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-24.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4PM ET
228 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET
151 shares @ 17.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
126 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.87
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET
122 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-29.00
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 3PM ET
121 shares @ 21.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
118 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
98 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- UP
Solana Up or Down - April 29, 12PM ET
83 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-27.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.52Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.11Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$0.01Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.44Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.47Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.47Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$1.73Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.95Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.02Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.55Apr 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$0.87Apr 30, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$1.58Apr 30, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.01Apr 30, 14:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.00Apr 30, 14:18 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10AM ET$1.24Apr 30, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.55Apr 30, 14:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.81Apr 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - April 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET$1.51Apr 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$1.76Apr 30, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - April 30, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$0.41Apr 30, 14:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 15 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
15 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 30, 14:01 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 30, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.