Scientific-Difficulty
0x424b813989495c950ee2bca89341fc513342ed19
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-219.25
Realised
$-5.61
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
1645 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-12.24
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 9PM ET
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 4, 6AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
100 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.80
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- MAGIC
Magic vs. Knicks
79 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-7.54
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 7PM ET
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 4, 2025$0.00
$-0.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3PM ET
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
50 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$0.00
$-11.70
- UNDER
Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 237.5
40 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-20.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?$4.81Dec 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chase Infiniti win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.51Dec 19, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 1AM ET$1.00Dec 8, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jennifer Lopez win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.22Dec 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ayo Edebiri win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.41Dec 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$2.44Dec 7, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Knicks$5.10Dec 7, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$5.44Dec 7, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$11.70Dec 7, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$12.40Dec 7, 05:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)$7.60Dec 7, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the fight be won by submission?$9.00Dec 7, 05:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by submission?$6.43Dec 7, 02:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWarriors vs. Cavaliers$6.00Dec 7, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWarriors vs. Cavaliers$5.50Dec 7, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$5.00Dec 7, 02:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sunderland win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$0.68Dec 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Saudi Arabia?$0.25Dec 7, 02:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: McKinney vs. Duncan (Lightweight, Prelims)$8.58Dec 7, 02:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 323: Silva vs. Barber (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)$4.00Dec 7, 01:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 3, 17:49 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 19, 20:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".