0x424d6d7cc44dc02a1a4cb6d47602142489153b7e
0x424d6d7cc44dc02a1a4cb6d47602142489153b7e
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-30.5K
Realised
$2.4K
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Exact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?
20892 shares @ 13.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$2.6K
$-104.44
- YES
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
6281 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.7K
$-31.40
- YES
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?
6953 shares @ 15.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.0K
$-34.76
- YES
Exact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?
8041 shares @ 12.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$1.0K
$40.21
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-22?
107016 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-961.75
- YES
Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?
37712 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-240.41
- YES
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
34855 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-4.8K
- YES
Exact Score: Colombia 0 - 0 DR Congo?
23948 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-2.4K
- YES
Exact Score: Egypt 1 - 2 IR Iran?
23117 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.4K
- YES
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 0 Croatia?
22422 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 0 - 2 Canada?$999.99Jun 28, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?$329.99Jun 28, 05:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$500.00Jun 28, 05:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 0 - 1 Canada?$749.99Jun 28, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?$1.2KJun 28, 05:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: South Africa 1 - 1 Canada?$2.8KJun 28, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?$4.16Jun 28, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?$6.8KJun 28, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?$23.34Jun 28, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?$499.99Jun 28, 01:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?$325.00Jun 28, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Algeria 1 - 1 Austria?$326.99Jun 28, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Jordan 1 - 3 Argentina?$250.00Jun 28, 01:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?$1.5KJun 28, 01:29 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?$0.10Jun 28, 01:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?$80.10Jun 28, 01:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$82.25Jun 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Colombia 1 - 0 Portugal?$135.03Jun 28, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: DR Congo 1 - 1 Uzbekistan?$2.31Jun 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw?$388.99Jun 27, 23:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$7.8K
Trades
1
Buy share
0%
Window
Jun 24, 01:01 UTC → Jun 24, 00:55 UTC
- SELLExact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?$7.8K@99¢Jun 24, 00:55 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
22% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 1 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$7.8K
1 trades
30d volume
$7.8K
1 trades
Buy share
0%
Sample
low
1 ledger trades
Top market concentration
Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia?
$7.8K · 100% of recorded whale volume
Recorded market concentration
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $529.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 02:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 28, 05:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.