Glorious-Suitcase
0x4252cfcb96e6143e5fa67094ad11c008728cfd0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$156.55
Total PnL
$-219.41
Realised
$30.97
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
825 shares @ 3.2¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$101.89
$75.19
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
160 shares @ 15.6¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$43.19
$18.19
- YES
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
259 shares @ 2.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$4.14
$-2.02
- YES
Will the St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 World Series?
1124 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.93
$-11.07
- YES
Will St. Louis Cardinals win the 2026 NL Central title?
270 shares @ 7.4¢·now 0.8¢·exp Oct 11, 2026$2.16
$-17.84
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
23 shares @ 22.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.25
$-3.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
544 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.10
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo be traded to the Atlanta Hawks?
128 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
110 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-13.20
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
4 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 67/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 4
- Avg trade size
- $20.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 19:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.