Daring-Award
0x4255bba994ef6de32f2e65cd71e84f26fe5ebd40
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
151
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.4K
Realised
$57.29
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 151- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
3774 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-350.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
1901 shares @ 15.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-295.34
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
1881 shares @ 16.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-305.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
1776 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-462.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
1500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
1245 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
920 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET
839 shares @ 29.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-245.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
718 shares @ 90.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$0.00
$-650.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
667 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET$5.31Jul 15, 02:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET$26.38Jul 14, 01:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$26.52Jul 14, 00:47 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$80.75Jul 11, 21:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$1.66Jul 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$78.19Jul 11, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$26.26Jul 11, 21:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$41.21Jul 11, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$25.70Jul 11, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$26.57Jul 11, 21:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$16.51Jul 10, 06:49 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$130.85Jul 10, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$101.71Jul 10, 06:33 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$46.01Jul 9, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$101.02Jul 5, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$159.04Jul 5, 05:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$91.12Jul 5, 05:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$50.51Jul 5, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET$50.03Jul 5, 00:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET$51.40Jul 5, 00:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
35/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $177.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 4, 03:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 02:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.