Organic-Pomelo
0x4255f3aac9975b089f459e91e56477f5e6ad3f69
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$4.51
Total PnL
$-451.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 5 and 10 years in prison?
143 shares @ 12.5¢·now 3.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$4.51
$-13.37
- YES
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 WM Phoenix Open?
293 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-10.26
- YES
Will the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
260 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-10.67
- YES
Will Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
247 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-8.89
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on January 21?
239 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.69
- YES
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?
237 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 11, 2026$0.00
$-13.51
- YES
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 20, 2026)
235 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.65
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 24?
221 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-35.17
- YES
Will Leewon Lim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
210 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.84
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 22?
204 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-3.07
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$210.70Mar 16, 10:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 5?$159.00Mar 6, 23:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill monthly inflation increase by 0.1% in February?$13.51Mar 5, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 5?$155.03Mar 3, 05:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Supha Xayprasith-Mays win the 2026 Arkansas Governor Democratic primary election?$8.66Feb 27, 08:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$242.44Feb 24, 20:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?$209.60Feb 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on February 22?$1.66Feb 21, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on February 22?$3.07Feb 21, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Bugonia" win Best Original Score at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$10.32Feb 21, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jacob Elordi win Best Supporting Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$8.89Feb 20, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leewon Lim (KOR) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's Mass Start at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$4.84Feb 20, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United States win the most medal points in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$10.67Feb 19, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?$26.43Feb 18, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on February 21?$204.15Feb 17, 00:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$256.72Feb 16, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.60 on February 15?$4.62Feb 14, 15:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?$165.07Feb 14, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 9 above $50?$138.10Feb 14, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for February 15 be between 1,900,000 and 2,100,000?$3.31Feb 12, 09:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $49.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 18, 14:56 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 10:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".