Knowledgeable-Precedent
0x4257b168a79ea2face00c475ca5342d8c64f7af7
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?
75000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will the AfD win less than 10% of the vote in the German election?
34063 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.97
- YES
Will the AfD win over 30% of the vote in the German election?
12561 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-420.09
- YES
Will the AfD win 10-15% of the vote in the German election?
12087 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Will the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?
4885 shares @ 14.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-702.48
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
1100 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-495.00
- YES
DeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?
1000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-80.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
997 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-127.26
- YES
Will Trump pardon Edward Snowden in his first 100 days?
835 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.20
- YES
Will Trump pardon Julian Assange in his first 100 days?
773 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-100.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 15-20% of the vote in the German election?$75.00Mar 1, 15:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill POTUS tweet more than 25 times Feb 7-14?$80.38Feb 22, 13:58 UTC
- REWARD$0.13Feb 16, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$126.09Feb 15, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$54.38Feb 15, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$74.99Feb 15, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$3.72Feb 15, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.77Feb 15, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$0.47Feb 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$5.87Feb 15, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$2.30Feb 15, 13:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$22.67Feb 15, 13:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$10.01Feb 15, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the AfD win 25-30% of the vote in the German election?$1.21Feb 15, 13:32 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Feb 10, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$3.04Feb 9, 16:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$6.30Feb 9, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$1.50Feb 9, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$77.70Feb 9, 15:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYDeepSeek confirmed to have used banned Nvidia chips?$80.00Feb 9, 15:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $65.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 00:51 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 15:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".