Agonizing-Iron
0x425bcad7cd516541c5c8ccd85c9d19a75853b6c4
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$66.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$814.90
$314.90
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 65.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$650.00
$150.00
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
587 shares @ 77.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$463.73
$11.74
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
502 shares @ 88.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$414.15
$-27.61
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$185.00
$-315.00
- YES
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?
155 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$155.00
$6.20
- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
100 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$99.75
$3.05
- NO
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.5% or higher before 2027?
35 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.76
$0.02
- NO
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 6.1%?
5 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$4.99
$0.03
- YES
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?
100 shares @ 77.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.13Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.18Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$11.15Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by July 15?$34.88Jun 12, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$35.51Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$29.96Jun 12, 09:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$12.77Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$25.13Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$23.99Jun 12, 08:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$10.50Jun 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$10.77Jun 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 14?$3.23Jun 12, 08:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$12.77Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$43.13Jun 12, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$5.08Jun 12, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$5.88Jun 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$4.81Jun 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$5.77Jun 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by June 15?$8.00Jun 12, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by July 31?$13.69Jun 12, 08:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $18.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.