Warm-Conspirator
0x426590b7395434f26d81418a9d636fb784a145a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-65.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
38 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
31 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?
30 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?
23 shares @ 42.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?
22 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Tariff" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?$10.00Feb 9, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "DOGE" or "Department of Governmental Efficiency" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$20.00Feb 9, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$3.00Feb 9, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Greenland" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$5.00Feb 9, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Israel" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$10.00Feb 9, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Crypto", "Cryptocurrency", or "Bitcoin" during Super Bowl pregame interview?$5.00Feb 9, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump say "Beautiful" 5+ times during Super Bowl pregame interview?$12.00Feb 9, 19:39 UTC
- REDEEMTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%$0.00Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$0.00Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- REDEEMTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%$35.00Feb 9, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$105.00Jan 21, 21:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?$105.27Jan 21, 21:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 12.5-15%$5.14Jan 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%$4.01Jan 18, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary 10-12.5%$10.00Jan 17, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$8.25Jan 17, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$10.00Jan 16, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump margin of victory in New Hampshire Primary >15%$10.00Jan 16, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the New Hampshire Republican Primary?$86.09Jan 16, 16:21 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $25.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 16, 16:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 9, 19:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".