Orange-Vinegar
0x42686af20c558babf613f42fe8856fb0eebc1ecd
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$13.64
Total PnL
$-40.23
Realised
$1.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
14 shares @ 49.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$13.64
$6.90
- YES
Will PCC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 5PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on March 9?
833 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
265 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
21 shares @ 13.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
12 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$1.85Mar 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$3.00Mar 17, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET$2.00Mar 17, 02:26 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.11Mar 15, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.92Mar 15, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.26Mar 15, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$1.50Mar 15, 20:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$3.94Mar 15, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Mar 15, 19:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $82,000 March 9-15?$1.00Mar 15, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14?$1.82Mar 15, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $72,000 on March 14?$1.00Mar 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$0.49Mar 14, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.00Mar 14, 23:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $1.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 00:58 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 02:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".