Soupy-Uncertainty
0x4279bb4e81b702647b474c6515402f1b8f9b02dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
15952 shares @ 22.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-3.6K
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
12599 shares @ 13.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
2047 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-272.12
- NO
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?
1649 shares @ 16.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-276.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
558 shares @ 17.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-99.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
483 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-29.96
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
200 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
39 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-19.69
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
18 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?$1.7KFeb 28, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$100.00Feb 28, 08:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$16.57Feb 28, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$1.7KFeb 28, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$467.06Feb 28, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$35.15Feb 28, 06:52 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$502.21Feb 28, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$399.20Feb 28, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?$614.90Feb 27, 17:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$614.89Feb 26, 15:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Feb 26, 13:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?$0.00Feb 26, 13:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meteora be accused of insider trading?$485.07Feb 25, 06:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$485.07Feb 25, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$1.5KFeb 19, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$4.20Feb 18, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 16:42 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$14.20Feb 18, 16:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.29Feb 18, 16:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$9.01Feb 18, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $217.28
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 09:51 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 13:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.