Crazy-Humidity
0x427a57d1adaefa49157d48f42a442d8e61175728
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$40.39
Total PnL
$-565.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$20.33
$9.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$20.06
$10.03
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 1, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET
1171 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 2, 2025$0.00
$-585.49
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$10.38Jul 12, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$10.73Jun 2, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.60Apr 27, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.50Apr 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?$4.60Apr 27, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.95Apr 19, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$3.95Mar 23, 13:25 UTC
- REWARD$1.16Mar 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?$15.01Mar 1, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of March?$15.17Mar 1, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$2.57Mar 1, 03:25 UTC
- MERGEWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$15.15Mar 1, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$5.15Mar 1, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?$10.80Mar 1, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the WA-09 House seat?$4.65Feb 28, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMRotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik$28.23Feb 28, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYRotterdam Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Alexander Bublik$16.09Feb 11, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMDow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 21?$16.09Feb 11, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYDow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on January 21?$10.78Jan 21, 08:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?$2.19Jan 21, 08:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
35 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $27.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 25, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 12, 08:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.